Fans of Newcastle United are progressively regarding Eddie Howe's side as a fickle ally. At their brilliant best, they prove to be the very life of the party, delivering high-intensity displays. Yet, in other matches, key players like their midfield linchpin and his teammates simply do not show up.
Compounding these problems is a second-half game management laced with a worrying element of chaos. Before their trip to Manchester United, the numbers paint a concerning tale: the team has let slip thirteen vital top-flight leverage from leading positions this term and are without a clean sheet in ten straight games in every tournament. Securing three points at Old Trafford would constitute only their second domestic triumph on the road this year.
On the flip side, defeat has been tasted on one occasion in their last 6 Premier League encounters, and although sitting in a seemingly lowly 11th place, they are a only six points off the highly-prized Champions League places. Consider an impending two-part Carabao Cup last-four clash against Manchester City and a reasonable chance of advancing to the Champions League knockout phase, and it is simpler to understand the gaffer's cautious positivity.
“We don't just have difficulties,” remarked the team's manager. “We have strengths as well. My glass is firmly optimistic currently. I know everybody else may hold a opposing take, but my belief is we are improving.”
The challenge is: will this group match – or perhaps surpass – the achievements of the previous campaign's cup glory and fifth-place standing? Balancing a hectic fixture list makes this difficult.
This heavy-leggedness could account for the failure to uphold a brilliant first-half showing against their London rivals, ultimately letting slip a two-goal advantage to tie 2-2. Similarly, it could be the reason for a lackluster display in a damaging loss to arch-rivals the Black Cats, where the side appeared off the pace just days after a demanding European excursion.
Although coaching is undoubtedly Howe's strength, the relentless grind of twice-weekly football has radically limited crucial coaching sessions. This slows the squad's stylistic adaptation to operating with new striker their number nine leading the line, instead of the now departed their former star. Although immensely skilled, the German forward has not shown the same blistering counter-attacking pace or ferocious defensive work rate.
In fact, the side's previously effective high press has occasionally broken down. Fitness issues to vital cog the Brazilian midfielder have not helped, while high-profile signings the Swedish winger and the English midfielder have struggled settling after their combined £90m+ transfers.
While a change to a 3-5-2 could arguably benefit the cause, a worsening defensive injury list makes that unlikely. Key defenders will be unavailable for the upcoming crucial fixtures, challenging the team's depth.
At their energetic peak, they seem almost unplayable. The catch is maintaining that fervor for the full 90 minutes. The often-seen alternative approach of sitting back into a deep-lying defensive shape has sometimes been self-destructive.
“The Chelsea match became anarchic at 2-2,” conceded the coach. “However we were going for the victory. We always go out to win.”
What appears called for is a pragmatic solution – involving superior possession retention, a midfield capable of controlling the pace, and a realistic willingness to occasionally settle for a draw. Yet, a desire to compete on every competitions is pushing thin squad numbers to their limit.
This might appear heretical to some, but a different approach in the cup competitions earlier could have alleviated the present fixture congestion. With critical European and Premier League games on the horizon, the imperative to carefully choose focus areas is growing ever more clear.
Eddie Howe acknowledged the size of the journey remaining. “Being at this club, the demands are immense. Every moment's pivotal. There is progress to be made in the Premier League. We're in the League Cup semi-finals, we want to progress in the Champions League and do well in the FA Cup.
“We're moving in the correct path, but we have lots of improvement to do to transform into the consistently successful team we envision. Our capacity to string together winning runs has escaped us so far.
“The objective is to hit that standard we are aware we're capable of. My feeling is that the confidence to achieve it is growing. Yet now we have to prove it. It ain't all doom and gloom currently, but the upcoming fixtures will determine much.”
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